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The Rhodium Market

An introduction to rhodium

Rhodium is still the most effective catalytic metal to cut NOx emissions and so it remains a key component of three-way catalysts for gasoline vehicles, where demand growth is robust. As a result, rhodium demand is set to increase, whilst a sustained weaker market for platinum could further cut primary rhodium supplies, although more recycling will help to offset some of this shortfall.

Rhodium demand has suffered losses in both gasoline and diesel powertrains. The price spike to over $10,000/oz in 2008 put the metal firmly in the substitution zone. Both platinum and rhodium lost out as lean NOx traps (LNTs), which seemed the preferred emissions aftertreatment choice for Euro 6 prior to 2008, have been partly engineered out through a combination of price volatility and increasingly stringent CO2 targets. Automakers have instead taken well-proven selective catalytic reduction (SCR) technology from heavy-duty vehicles and downsized it for cars. Although expensive and requiring maintenance (urea top-ups), SCRs have less of an impact on fuel efficiency (and so CO2 emissions) compared to LNTs.

Rhodium’s price volatility has led to loadings being cut to the bare minimum, and palladium has replaced some rhodium. 

Related rhodium news and insights

Where next for palladium?

14 September 2021 | Stephen A. Forrest, Beresford Clarke

Read SFA's latest edition of The Palladium Standard which discusses current palladium market dynamics, price outlook, and feature articles from selected players, as well as our latest platinum and rhodium outlooks.

Russia’s new cash cow

8 July 2021 | Prof. Paul Chaisty

SFA's Associate, Dr Paul Chaisty, Professor of Russian and East European Politics, St Antony's College, University of Oxford, discusses Russia's decision to impose export duties on the Russian export industry.

Rand strength could help lift the platinum price

31 January 2022 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus – Edition 2

Outlook 2022 – Markets normalising in 2022

24 January 2022 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus – Forecast

Iridium and ruthenium were the only winners in 2021

17 January 2022 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus – Edition 1

Low-cost PGM ounces from Zimbabwe reaching record levels

13 December 2021 | SFA (Oxford) & Heraeus – Edition 44

Read more

Rhodium in context, 1985 to 2021

The Rhodium Market

Rhodium supply-demand balance

 koz 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021f
Primary supply                  
Regional                  
 South Africa 590 425 620 615 620 625 640 475 640
 Russia 70 75 70 70 75 75 80 80 65
 Zimbabwe 35 35 35 45 45 40 40 45 45
 North America 35 30 30 30 25 20 20 20 20
 Other 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10
 Total 740 575 765 765 775 770 790 630 780
                   
Demand and recycling
 Autocatalyst                  
  Gross demand 785 845 860 835 865 900 985 880 1,000
  Recycling 260 275 260 280 295 335 355 330 360
  Net demand 525 570 600 555 570 565 630 550 640
                   
Industrial demand 150 165 150 180 165 210 165 130 115
                   
Other recycling 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
                   
Gross demand 935 1,010 1,010 1,015 1,030 1,110 1,150 1,010 1,115
                   
Recycling 260 275 260 280 295 335 355 330 365
                   
Net demand 675 735 750 735 735 775 795 680 750
                   
Market balance                  
 Balance
 (before ETFs)
65 -160 15 30 40 -5 -5 -50 30
 ETFs
 (stock allocation)
50 5 -5 5 -20 -50 -15 -10  
Balance
after ETFs
25 -165 20 25 60 45 10 -40  
                   

Source: SFA (Oxford). Updated September 2021.

The Platinum Standard

The Platinum Standard comprises analytical articles on those issues we believe will set the PGM agenda for the years ahead and is released annually in May on the eve of London Platinum Week.

The Palladium Standard

The Palladium Standard comprises analytical articles on those issues we believe will set the PGM agenda for the years ahead and is released annually in September on the eve of New York Platinum Week.

Linked rhodium market reports

SFA (Oxford) provides regular bespoke market intelligence reports on rhodium as well as in-depth studies on recycling, metal flows and price setting.

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